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The 10th Man

The 10th Man Principle: Anticipating the Unthinkable

How to anticipate the unthinkable? When crises erupt, identifying the weak signals and taking prompt, appropriate measures becomes vital. But how to get out of the sleepwalking and extremism traps? What if the 10th man principle could help us navigate chaos and spot risks before disaster strikes?

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The 5 Stages of Collapse

What Doesn’t Kill Us: The 5 Stages of Collapse

How do collapses happen? From financial to cultural crash, the “5 stages of collapse” from Dmitry Orlov provides a powerful model based on the fall of the USSR. What if this approach could also give us powerful metrics to assess pre-collapse times? And tell us a lot about where we are in the cycle today?

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The Darkest Hour

The Minsky Moment: Getting Ready for the Edge of Crisis

How ready are we to take the punch at the edge of crisis? One thing is certain: this is the moment of truth. While psychology offers three typical responses (freeze, flight, or fight), it’s impossible to know how we will react in that critical moment. Yet, how can we prepare? And are there simple principles to apply?

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