Balázs Stumpf-Biró

Collapse Researcher, Network Developer

1. What is one key strategic lesson of the polycrisis?

The polycrisis has made it clear that linear, forecast-driven strategic models simply do not work in a world that is not predictable but complex, non-linear and shaped by feedback dynamics. The essential lesson is this: strategic thinking must be scenario-based, adaptive and resilient. The objective is not to predict the future but to remain prepared for multiple possible futures while preserving organisational decision-making capacity, core values and a human scale of operation.

2. Where do you see the greatest value of the CASSee method?

The greatest value of CASSee is that it does not avoid the uncomfortable questions. It initiates genuine system-level dialogue in both corporate and municipal environments. It brings to the surface the hidden tensions and vulnerabilities that remain invisible in day-to day operations but become critical in crisis conditions. This is not conventional consultancy. It is the creation of a reflective space where thinking can be reframed and true strategic transformation can take shape.

3. Why is community-level adaptation important to you?

Adaptation is not merely a technical matter but also a question of culture, community and trust. In the era of the polycrisis, the decisive factor is not which technology appears the “greenest”, but whether we are capable of cooperating, making shared decisions and learning collectively. What matters deeply to me is how local communities can rebuild decision making capacity not simply to survive, but to live more meaningfully and live together in a rapidly changing world.

Stumpf-Biró Balázs